BACK TO CREDIT RISK INSIGHTS

Commercial real estate

Market participants are facing increasing uncertainty, surfacing a complex set of interconnected risks associated with rising rates, market disruptions, and changes in the supply-demand dynamics of real estate.

Complex challenges ahead


alt

Commercial real estate, or CRE, has traditionally generated stable revenue, but current shifts in consumer and business behaviors, housing affordability and supply, rising interest rates, stalling transaction volume as valuations correct, limited debt liquidity, upcoming loan maturities and secular changes in office utilization are beginning to affect CRE performance and cause new pockets of risk to develop.

Over a three-to-five year horizon, returns will depend on how lenders and investors manage their CRE portfolios, carefully monitoring both secular and cyclical trends and how they manifest as risk. Because CRE is such a heterogenous asset class going through complicated changes, it is important to have a robust, organized, and consistent way to keep tabs on all the credit-driving intricacies of a large portfolio.


Discover the power of Moody's CRE Solutions


Moody's CRE is a premier CRE data intelligence platform that offers a comprehensive suite of analytics and data insights aimed at transforming the decision-making process for CRE professionals. It provides extensive coverage and deep granularity of property records, active listings, historical transaction data, and market analytics across the United States, enabling users to understand local supply, demand dynamics, and market trends in real-time. 

Data change and news alerts

Assess market dynamics


Ownership explorer

Transact with confidence


Flexible report ordering

Screen opportunities & mitigate risks


Search criteria

Identify prospects & opportunities


Graphs

Analyze trends & forecasts


Heat maps

Generate strategic insights


Featured insights

Key capabilities

ANTICIPATE, ADAPT AND THRIVE. Whether you need to make decisions on your portfolio today, or are looking for in-depth analysis and opinion on the state of CRE across the globe, Moody's gives you a multifaceted view of risk, bringing together quality data, institutional-grade analytical solutions and industry-leading risk modelling when, where and how you need them.


01 Ratings

Moody's Ratings

Ratings

Moody’s Ratings delivers independent, in-depth and transparent opinions on credit risk through its credit ratings. Get public and private credit ratings on Commercial Real Estate Lenders, Equity REITs, CMBS Conduit and SASB (Single Asset Single Borrower) transactions, CRE Collateralized Loan Obligations, LIHTC (Low Income Housing Tax Credit), SFRs (Single Family Rentals) and Government Sponsored Entities.  In addition, we also rate Banks and Life Insurance companies with exposure to CRE.




02 Research

Moody's

Research

Draw on Moody’s expert analysis and opinion to deepen your understanding of the CRE market. Gain transparency and award-winning insights from Moody’s to develop perspectives on sector trends and assess creditworthiness across the CRE market. Leverage timely, opinion-rich and forward-looking commentaries to monitor the varied risks and inform your credit decisions.

03 Data

Moody's

Data

Change the way you analyze data, understand shifting market dynamics, and mitigate risk. Leverage over 40 years of historical data and continuous data coverage and partnership expansion, to gain meaningful depth and breadth of data granularity, unique intelligence, and analytics to bridge the information gap, and deliver the transparency necessary to inform strategy, assess risk and execute deals.

04 Tailored solutions

Moody's

Tailored solutions

Our integrated suite of solutions allows you to build credibility and make confident investment decisions quantifying and balancing risks, evaluate deals more efficiently, forecasting volatility, and better understand performance. Our industry leading tools support every stage of the CRE lifecycle: lending, underwriting, data ingestion, hold/sell analysis, stress testing, portfolio management, and ongoing portfolio monitoring and benchmarking.




05 Financial risk analytics

Moody's

Financial risk analytics

Unlock insights designed to navigate the evolving CRE landscape to evaluate deals faster and prioritize the right opportunities. Whether evaluating CMBS, CLO, or commercial mortgage risks, our robust financial analytics are informed by trusted data, so can evaluate deal cash flows, assess default and recovery, make equity and debt decisions, and more.


Moody's Ratings

Ratings

Moody’s Ratings delivers independent, in-depth and transparent opinions on credit risk through its credit ratings. Get public and private credit ratings on Commercial Real Estate Lenders, Equity REITs, CMBS Conduit and SASB (Single Asset Single Borrower) transactions, CRE Collateralized Loan Obligations, LIHTC (Low Income Housing Tax Credit), SFRs (Single Family Rentals) and Government Sponsored Entities.  In addition, we also rate Banks and Life Insurance companies with exposure to CRE.




Moody's

Research

Draw on Moody’s expert analysis and opinion to deepen your understanding of the CRE market. Gain transparency and award-winning insights from Moody’s to develop perspectives on sector trends and assess creditworthiness across the CRE market. Leverage timely, opinion-rich and forward-looking commentaries to monitor the varied risks and inform your credit decisions.

Moody's

Data

Change the way you analyze data, understand shifting market dynamics, and mitigate risk. Leverage over 40 years of historical data and continuous data coverage and partnership expansion, to gain meaningful depth and breadth of data granularity, unique intelligence, and analytics to bridge the information gap, and deliver the transparency necessary to inform strategy, assess risk and execute deals.

Moody's

Tailored solutions

Our integrated suite of solutions allows you to build credibility and make confident investment decisions quantifying and balancing risks, evaluate deals more efficiently, forecasting volatility, and better understand performance. Our industry leading tools support every stage of the CRE lifecycle: lending, underwriting, data ingestion, hold/sell analysis, stress testing, portfolio management, and ongoing portfolio monitoring and benchmarking.




Moody's

Financial risk analytics

Unlock insights designed to navigate the evolving CRE landscape to evaluate deals faster and prioritize the right opportunities. Whether evaluating CMBS, CLO, or commercial mortgage risks, our robust financial analytics are informed by trusted data, so can evaluate deal cash flows, assess default and recovery, make equity and debt decisions, and more.


More insights

research
Lingering risk from property investments weighs on Chinese insurers’ profitability

The prolonged property slump in China is raising asset risks for insurers in the country because they have significant investments in the sector in various ways.  

research
Provision spike drives losses for most US non-bank commercial real estate lenders in first quarter

Problem loans tied to office and multifamily grew, leading to higher provisions and net losses for lenders. Capital remains a credit strength, but funding and liquidity weakened.

research
CRE refinancing risks in Europe will crystalize as peak-cycle loans mature

Commercial real estate loans that originated at the peak of the European property cycle in 2021 and 2022 pose the greatest refinancing risk.

research
Commercial Real Estate – Europe: Refinancing risk will grow as banks exit CRE market, cede ground to nonbank lenders

Private debt may help to fill a void in riskier CRE lending, amid increasing regulatory scrutiny around interconnectedness.

  • Europe
  • Real estate

Moody's CRE by the numbers

GET IN TOUCH

Speak to our team

Let’s discuss your needs and how we can support you.
 

Get in touch

How can we help?

All fields are required.

By providing your information, you will also receive emails from Moody’s Corporation and its affiliates regarding our business, products and services. Click here if you prefer not to, and you can update your preferences at any time. See our Privacy Policy for full details.

Thank you for successfully submitting the contact form. A member of our team will be in touch as soon as possible.