Insights

In a dynamic business landscape, market participants face increasingly complex and interconnected risks. Combining a longstanding record in risk analysis with deep domain expertise and global coverage, Moody’s trusted research and actionable insights bring clarity to decision-making, enabling you to decode risk and unlock opportunity.


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research
Rising exports of Chinese internet-related and logistics services reflect improving competitiveness

Rated Chinese service providers face execution risks as they expand abroad to counter slowing domestic demand, but large cash buffers and low leverage will underpin their credit quality.

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Latin American companies and utilities’ liquidity risk is mostly low, but slow to improve

While liquidity risk is low for most Latin American speculative-grade companies in 2024-25, high interest rates and limited market access will strain credit quality for the weakest.

podcast
AI-assisted underwriting has benefits and risks for structured finance transactions

The use of artificial intelligence in collateral underwriting comes with both benefits and risks to structured finance transactions, while jurisdictions take different approaches to AI regulation.

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UK challenger banks: Uneven performance in a sluggish market

The UK challenger banks show diverse trends but on average compare favorably with their established high-street peers in terms of profitability and capitalization. However, their asset quality indicators on average are below their established peers.

  • Credit risk
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Worsening water shortage poses risks to India and water-intensive sectors in the country

India faces a growing water shortage amid rapid economic growth and climate change, hampering the credit health of the sovereign, coal power generators and steelmakers.

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Consumer spending will cool in the US over the next year and slowly recover in Europe

In the US, discretionary and luxury spending will be particularly vulnerable to slowing demand. In Europe, goods spending is improving gradually from subdued levels.

whitepaper
From boom to gloom: Navigating the impending downturn in the German construction and real estate sector

A decrease in demand for new buildings is threatening the performance of the CRE sector in many European countries, including Germany, which is currently experiencing a real estate downturn.

podcast
Revenue shortfall leaves California facing a budget squeeze

Spending cuts of $25 billion will ease the deficit, though out-migration of high earners remains a drag on revenue. K-12 education will avoid significant cuts, but is vulnerable if the economy slows.

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US investment-grade companies are well-positioned for rising but less transformational M&A

Strategic M&A will increase over the next 12-18 months. But the bar for blockbuster deals will remain high because of still-high interest rates and pressure from antitrust enforcers.

  • Corporates
infographic
Chinese construction firms eye higher Belt and Road Initiative revenue as economy slows

Robust growth in new orders will support 10% to 15% annual growth in overseas revenue over the next two years. However, companies face significant execution, social and financial risks. 

podcast
Inside Economics podcast: Episode 166 - Economic exceptionalism

Why is the U.S. economy outperforming much of the world?

A deep dive on the resilience of the U.S. economy.

  • Economics
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Maximizing data’s potential

In the era of exponential risk, master data management (MDM) bolsters operational efficacy and refines the decision-making framework. Our recent eBook dives deeper into the role MDM programs play in driving business growth, from enhancing organizational agility to realizing ROI on technology investments and more.

  • Data
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Overcoming data overload

How can insurers embed climate risk within their asset allocation framework?

  • Data
  • Climate risk
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Customer due diligence (CDD) in banks

Customer due diligence (CDD) is the process by which banks and other financial institutions (FIs) identify and verify individuals before they become customers, and how they then assess risk throughout a customer’s lifecycle.

  • Customer due diligence
article
The advent of GenAI: A new era in lending

As we enter the new era of AI-enabled innovations, the transformative power of Generative AI (GenAI) is rapidly reshaping industries, with the banking sector poised for significant evolution.

  • Artificial intelligence
article
How can artificial intelligence transform risk and compliance?

Dive into the results of our groundbreaking survey of 550 risk and compliance professionals across the globe on current and future uses of AI.

  • Artificial intelligence
article
Are private market investments helping insurers’ portfolios?

Gain a different perspective on how to simplify the process and assess the impact of a wide range of alternatives on an insurers’ risk and return profile.

  • Credit risk
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Risky business? The seven indicators of shell company risk

Unmasking financial risks and potential corporate crimes with Moody’s Shell Company Indicator.

  • Compliance
  • Corporations

Our integrated perspectives on key areas of risk

Outlooks

Credit outlook

Credit outlook

  • Acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems will be positive for Boeing’s operations over the long run
  • US moves to block acquisition of Mattress Firm by Tempur Sealy
  • Yen weakness drives up foreign-currency funding costs and import cost inflation
Read more
Weekly market outlook

Weekly market outlook

  • Shaky Confidence
  • Long View: Investment-Grade Credit Spreads Widen Through June (US); Another Solid Advance in Spain’s GDP (Europe); Good and Bad in Japan’s Economic Guidelines (APAC); Argentina’s Recovery Slowly Coming Into View (LatAm)
  • Ratings roundup: Downgrades Higher in U.S., Europe Breaks Even
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